I´m trying to transcode videos to a target bitrate for streaming. I´m NOT interested on constant bitrate (which I know is not possible), but at least I want to get a certain AVERAGE bitrate so I can fit the video through a token bucket.
The problem is I find it impossible to predict the total video bitrate. I tried different muxers and codecs but, for example, if I select 32kpbs audio and 220kbps video (mux=TS, vcodec=H264), instead of getting an average 252kbps, I get 362kbps, wich is WAY too big.
Does anyone know how to predict the average output video bitrate or at least explain to me why I´m not getting what I ask VLC for?